Dendroclimatic assessment of a 200-year-old scots pine stand in the Voronezh biosphere reserve

Abstract

This paper addresses the effects of climatic limiting factors (precipitation and air temperature) on the radial increment variability of Scots pine (Pinus silvestris L.) growing in the Voronezh State Biosphere Reserve under the conservation regime conditions. Based on the cyclical dynamics of the radial increment of Scots pine (11- and 34-year cycles), models have been built using two forecasting methods (Caterpillar Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) and an additive increment model described by a sinusoid function with a given period), and an increment forecast for the 10-year period was produced